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Given the post-FOMC slump of over 150-pips, Friday’s intraday uptick might still be categorized as a corrective bounce from extreme oversold conditions and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly.
Meanwhile, the overnight bearish break below 23.6% Fibo. level of the 104.75-112.40 up-move from the early-January flash crash lows support prospects for an extension of the near-term depreciating move.
Moreover, the descending trend-channel formation on the daily chart, extending from yearly tops, add credence to the bearish set-up and warrant caution for traders positioning for any meaningful recovery.
Hence, any subsequent up-move back towards the 108.00 handle, coinciding with the recent trading range breakdown point, might be seen as an opportunity to initiate some fresh bearish positions.