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UoM Consumer Sentiment Index drops as inflation fears climb

According to the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index, American consumers are beginning to grow increasingly concerned about US President Donald Trump's approach to economic policy and international trade. Trade war fears have knocked back consumer confidence, and consumer inflation expectations have also climbed.

The Preliminary UoM Sentiment Index showed that aggregate consumer outlook contracted in January, falling to 67.8 compared to investors' median forecasts of a climb to 71.8 from December's 71.1. It's the lowest reading in the UoM's main sentiment index since July of last year, and the average US consumer may not be in as great shape or feeling as confident as Wall Street might have originally thought.

UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations also rose across the board, climbing to 3.3% over the next 5 years and jumping to 4.3% over the next 12 months as multiple rounds of tariff threats take hold of the economy at the consumer level.

Fed's Goolsbee: Will take longer than 2025 to get to neutral policy rate

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee hit markets on an already-volatile Friday with more bad news, noting that inconsistent policy approaches from the US government cause a high level of economic uncertainty that make it difficult for the Fed to draw a bead on where the economy, and inflation specifically, are likely heading.
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Fed's Kugler: Recent progress on inflation is slow and uneven

Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Adriana Kugler noted on Friday that US growth and economic activity remain healthy overall, but noted that progress toward the Fed's inflation goals has been somewhat lopsided.
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